Sunday Night Football odds, line: Packers vs. Saints picks, predictions from expert who's 44-9

by 24USATVSept. 28, 2020, 3 a.m. 61
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The New Orleans Saints hope to build on their record of dominance in isolated prime-time games when they host the red-hot Green Bay Packers on Sunday Night Football. The Saints are 11-1 on Sunday Night Football under coach Sean Payton, and also have a sterling record of 11-6 on Monday Night Football. But that record took a hit last week when they squandered a double-digit lead and fell 34-24 to the Raiders in their Las Vegas debut. The surging Packers were 3-1 on the road in prime-time games last season but haven't won in New Orleans since 1995.

Kickoff is set for 8:20 p.m. ET. New Orleans is a three-point favorite in the latest Packers vs. Saints odds from William Hill, while the over-under for total points scored is 51.5. Before making any Saints vs. Packers picks or NFL predictions for Sunday Night Football, make sure you see what SportsLine's R.J. White has to say, given the epic run he's on picking games involving Green Bay or New Orleans.

SportsLine's resident stats guru has twice cashed big in the world's most prestigious handicapping tournament, the Westgate Las Vegas SuperContest. He tied for 18th out of 2,748 contestants in 2017 with a 52-29-4 mark against the spread. White also cashed big-time in the 2015 SuperContest.

White has consistently crushed his NFL picks against the spread for SportsLine members. He's on a 26-14 heater dating to last season that has netted a profit of more than $1,000 to $100 players. He also has posted a sterling 15-6 mark to start the 2020 season.

What's more, White has an astounding track record of success on against-the-spread picks involving these clubs. He has posted a 6-3 record on the Saints and a whopping 38-6 mark on the Packers that includes telling SportsLine members to back Green Bay (-6) against the Detroit Lions last week, helping run his record to an astonishing 44-9 combined on these teams. Anyone who has followed him is way up.

Now, White has locked in on Saints vs. Packers from every angle and released a confident against-the-spread pick. You can visit SportsLine now to see it. Here are several NFL lines from William Hill and trends for Packers vs. Saints:
• GB: Packers are 8-2 against the spread in their last 10 games against opponents with winning records.
• NO: The favorite has covered six of the last seven meetings in this series.

Why the Saints can cover

Following the loss to the Raiders, quarterback Drew Brees was in the rare position of being the target of criticism. His 472 passing yards and 64.7 percent completion rate are well below his usual standards after just two games, and many observers wondered whether the 41-year-old was showing signs of physical decline. But the signal-caller has repeatedly told the media this week that he "feels great" and expects the team to work through its issues.

The absence of All-Pro receiver Michael Thomas, who caught an NFL record 149 passes last season, limited the Saints' playbook against the Raiders. Thomas (ankle) will miss Sunday night's showdown against the Packers. Brees also pointed out that No. 2 receiver Emmanuel Sanders is still adjusting to the system after leaving the San Francisco 49ers to sign as a free agent in the off-season.

On the bright side, tight end Jared Cook is off to a solid start with seven catches for 93 yards and a touchdown. Third receiver Tre'Quan Smith has emerged as a legitimate threat and has six catches for 90 yards through the first two games. Versatile back Alvin Kamara has 14 catches on 17 targets for 146 yards with one score.

Why the Packers can cover

The Packers trailed the Lions, 14-3, after the first quarter before exploding for a 31-0 run spanning the second and third quarters to put the game out of reach. Aaron Jones ran for a career-high 168 yards and scored three touchdowns, while Aaron Rodgers had a steady day with 240 passing yards, two touchdowns and zero interceptions.

The defense clamped down after the first quarter, allowing just one late touchdown the rest of the way. The Packers sacked Detroit quarterback Matthew Stafford four times and the pass rush forced an interception by Chandon Sullivan that was returned for a touchdown. Green Bay is hopeful that Davante Adams (hamstring) will be able to return to the lineup, but he'll likely miss Sunday Night Football.

How to make Saints vs. Packers picks

White is leaning over on the total, and he has also discovered a critical X-factor that has him jumping all over one side of the spread. He's sharing it only at SportsLine.

Who wins Packers vs. Saints on Sunday Night Football? And what critical X-factor makes one side of the spread a must-back? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Saints vs. Packers spread you should jump on, all from the NFL expert who's an astonishing 44-9 run on New Orleans and Green Bay picks, and find out.

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